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[ISW] 이스라엘-하마스 전쟁(이란) 업데이트, 2024년 8월 29일

by Summa posted Aug 30, 2024
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핵심 요점:

  • 가자지구에서의 소아마비 예방 접종: 미국과 국제 보건 당국은 8월 29일에 이스라엘이 가자지구에서 소아마비에 대한 아동 예방 접종을 위해 일시적인 인도적 긴급 중단을 시행하기로 합의했다고 확인했습니다.
  • 가자지구: 이스라엘 군 소식통은 라파에서의 IDF 작전으로 인해 하마스의 라파 여단이 "붕괴"되었다고 밝혔습니다. 라파에서의 하마스의 최근 공격률은 라파 여단이 심각하게 약화되었을 수 있음을 시사합니다. 최근 하마스의 공격은 5월, 6월, 7월의 하마스의 행동과 달리 명확한 전술적 또는 작전적 목표가 없는 것으로 보입니다.
  • 핵 협상: 연합뉴스가 입수한 미공개 국제원자력기구 보고서에 따르면 이란은 무기급 수준에 가까운 우라늄 농축물 비축량을 늘렸습니다.
  • 이스라엘-하마스 휴전-인질 협상: 현재 진행 중인 휴전-인질 협상에 대해 잘 아는 미확인 소식통은 8월 28일에 이스라엘 언론에 이스라엘 중재자들이 도하에서의 협상에서 "진전"을 이루었다고 말했습니다.
``` ### 분류: 중동 정세 ### 관련된 주요국가: 이스라엘, 팔레스타인, 이란 ### 향후 전망: 이스라엘과 하마스 사이의 휴전 협상은 진행 중이며, 이란의 핵 협상은 교착 상태에 있습니다.

[원문]

Iran Update

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Kelly Campa, Andie Parry, Ria Reddy, Kathryn Tyson, Siddhant Kishore, Katherine Wells, Alexandra Braverman, Annika Ganzeveld, and Brian Carter


Information Cutoff: 2:00pm ET

US and international health officials confirmed on August 29 that Israel has agreed to implement a temporary humanitarian pause in the Gaza Strip to vaccinate children against polio. The Israeli Prime Minister’s Office emphasized that the pause is not related to the longer-term ceasefire proposal currently under discussion in Doha. The temporary humanitarian pause related to polio received support from the Israeli War Cabinet. The Gaza Health Ministry announced on August 16 that several Palestinian children have presented symptoms consistent with polio and that lab tests confirmed that one child had polio. The World Health Organization representative for the Gaza Strip said that Israel agreed to suspend offensive operations for three days in designated areas of the central Gaza Strip beginning on September 1 when a large-scale vaccination campaign will begin. The IDF will pause operations from 0600 to 1500 local time in the designated areas. Israel will also conduct three day pauses in designated areas of the southern and northern Gaza Strip on later, unspecified dates. Unspecified Egyptian officials told Arab media that the pause would not include areas of the Gaza Strip where Israeli forces are actively operating. Hamas initially welcomed the temporary pause in fighting but later criticized the Israeli proposal for not encompassing the entire Gaza Strip. A Hamas political bureau official confirmed that Hamas would cooperate with international organizations for the successful implementation of the campaign, however. A United Nations Relief and Works Agency (UNRWA) official said on August 26 that over 3,000 people in health teams would help deliver polio vaccines to shelters, clinics, and schools, but that a humanitarian pause was needed for locals to safely meet aid workers.


Key Takeaways:


  • Polio Vaccinations in the Gaza Strip: US and international health officials confirmed on August 29 that Israel has agreed to implement a temporary humanitarian pause in the Gaza Strip to vaccinate children against polio.


  • Gaza Strip: Israeli military sources said that IDF operations in Rafah caused the “collapse” of Hamas’ Rafah Brigade. Hamas’ recent attack rate in Rafah indicates that the Rafah Brigade may be severely degraded. Recent Hamas attacks have also appeared to lack clear tactical or operational objectives, unlike Hamas actions in May, June, and July.


  • Nuclear Negotiations: Iran has increased its stockpile of uranium enriched to near weapons-grade levels, according to an unreleased International Atomic Energy Agency report obtained by the Associated Press.


  • Israel-Hamas ceasefire-hostage negotiations: Unspecified sources familiar with the ongoing ceasefire-hostage negotiations told Israeli media on August 28 that Israeli mediators have made “progress” during negotiations in Doha. 


Click here to read the full update.

ISW–CTP has launched an interactive map of Israeli ground operations to accompany our daily campaign assessments of the IsraelHamas war. This product complements the daily static maps that ISW-CTP produces with high-fidelity and, where possible, street-level assessments of the war in Israel.

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The Institute for the Study of War (ISW) is a non-partisan, non-profit, public policy research organization. ISW advances an informed understanding of military affairs through reliable research, trusted analysis, and innovative education. We are committed to improving the nation's ability to execute military operations and respond to emerging threats in order to achieve US strategic objectives.



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