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[ISW] 이란 업데이트, 2025년 2월 2일

by Summa posted Feb 03, 2025
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```html 주요 사항

주요 사항:

  • 이라크 의회: 이라크 의회는 2월 2일 쿠르디스탄 지역 정부(KRG) 직원의 급여를 제공하고 이라크 쿠르디스탄 지역에서 석유 수출을 재개하기 위한 이라크 예산법 개정안을 승인했습니다.
  • 이라크에서의 미국 존재: 여러 이라크 안보 및 정치 관계자들은 시리아 상황으로 인해 이라크에서 미군이 이끄는 국제 연합군의 철수를 지연시키려고 했습니다.
  • 터키: 터키 외무장관 하칸 피단은 2월 2일 카타르 외무장관과의 기자회견에서 시리아 민주군(SDF)에 대한 터키의 위협을 거듭했습니다.

분류:

  • 정치
  • 안보
  • 경제

관련된 주요 국가:

  • 이라크
  • 미국
  • 터키

향후 전망:

  • 이라크 의회의 예산법 개정안 승인은 KRG와 이라크 중앙 정부 간의 관계 개선으로 이어질 수 있습니다.
  • 미군이 이끄는 국제 연합군의 철수 지연은 이라크의 안보 상황을 불안정하게 만들 수 있습니다.
  • 터키의 SDF에 대한 위협은 시리아 북부에서 새로운 군사적 충돌로 이어질 수 있습니다.
```

[원문]

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Siddhant Kishore, Katherine Wells, Alexandra Braverman, Andie Parry, and Brian Carter


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The Iraqi parliament voted to approve an amendment to the Iraqi budget law to provide salaries for Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG) employees and resume oil exports from the Iraqi Kurdistan Region on February 2. The Iraqi government will pay $16 per barrel to the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG), an increase from the previous compensation of $6 per barrel. An international consulting firm will determine the actual cost of oil extraction in the Kurdistan Region, according to the amended budget law. An Iraqi parliament’s finance committee member said that the cost of oil extraction is not fixed and may reach $22 per barrel, depending on the consulting firm’s inspection. The KRG spokesperson confirmed that the Iraqi parliament also resolved the issue of KRG employees' outstanding salaries. Iraqi and Kurdish officials are discussing sending the salaries in the “coming few days.”


Several Iraqi security and political officials have sought to delay the withdrawal of US-led international coalition forces from Iraq due to the situation in Syria. The Associated Press reported on January 31 that the fall of the Assad regime in Syria informed Iraqi officials’ assessment to delay the withdrawal of US forces from Iraq. Iraqi security and political officials warned that the withdrawal of US forces from Iraq would create a vacuum for ISIS to reconstitute. A US defense official said that unspecified Iraqi government officials have asked “informally at the highest of levels” to delay the withdrawal of US forces citing the same reason. The United States and Iraq agreed in September 2024 that hundreds of US-led international coalition forces would withdraw from Iraq by September 2025 and that the remaining troops would withdraw by the end of 2026.


Key Takeaways:


  • Iraqi Parliament: The Iraqi parliament voted to approve an amendment to the Iraqi budget law to provide salaries for Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG) employees and resume oil exports from the Iraqi Kurdistan Region on February 2.


  • US Presence in Iraq: Several Iraqi security and political officials have sought to delay the withdrawal of US-led international coalition forces from Iraq due to the situation in Syria.


  • Turkey: Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan reiterated Turkish threats against the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) in a press conference with his Qatari counterpart on February 2.

Click Here to Read the Full Report

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The Institute for the Study of War (ISW) is a non-partisan, non-profit, public policy research organization. ISW advances an informed understanding of military affairs through reliable research, trusted analysis, and innovative education. We are committed to improving the nation's ability to execute military operations and respond to emerging threats in order to achieve US strategic objectives.



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