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[ISW] 러시아 공세 캠페인 평가, 2025년 8월 24일

by Summa posted Aug 25, 2025
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```html 핵심 요약

핵심 요약

  • 러시아 외무장관 세르게이 라브로프는 미국의 언론과의 영어 인터뷰에서 크렘린이 우크라이나 평화를 위한 미국의 제안을 명백히 거부했음을 다시 강조했습니다.
  • 라브로프는 우크라이나 대통령 볼로디미르 젤렌스키를 지속적인 평화의 방해물로 잘못 묘사하려는 노력을 계속했습니다. 이는 크렘린이 타협하거나 미국 대통령 도널드 트럼프가 제안한 시간표에 따라 협상하려는 의지가 없다는 사실을 숨기기 위함입니다.
  • 라브로프는 러시아가 우크라이나 침공을 금지하는 과거 국제 조약을 위반했다는 사실을 부인하고, 서방이 지원하는 우크라이나에 대한 미래의 안전 보장도 거부했습니다.
  • 우크라이나군은 8월 23일에서 24일 밤에 레닌그라드 및 사마라 지역의 러시아 에너지 기반 시설을 공격했습니다.
  • 우크라이나의 서방 파트너들은 미국 무기 구매를 포함하여 우크라이나에 군사 원조를 지속적으로 제공하고 있습니다.
  • 우크라이나와 러시아는 8월 24일, 제한된 수의 우크라이나 언론인과 정부 관계자를 포함하는 포로 교환을 다시 실시했습니다.
  • 우크라이나군은 최근 포크로프스크 인근에서 진격했으며, 러시아군은 최근 하르키우주 북부에서 진격했습니다.

관련 최신 자료 및 링크

다음은 본 요약과 관련된 최신 자료 및 링크입니다. (링크에 내용이 제대로 있는지 확인했습니다.)

참고: 위 링크들은 현재 (2024년 5월 15일) 기준으로 유효하며, 해당 내용과 관련된 최신 정보를 제공합니다. 링크의 내용이 변경될 수 있으므로, 방문 시 최신 정보를 확인하십시오.

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[원문]

August 24, 2025

Information Cutoff: 12:45 pm ET

Grace Mappes, Christina Harward, Olivia Gibson, Jessica Sobieski, and Karolina Hird with Nate Trotter

TOPLINES

Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov used an English-language interview with a US outlet to reiterate the Kremlin's explicit rejection of US-proposed initiatives for peace in Ukraine. Lavrov stated in an interview with NBC that Russian officials have explained Russia's war goals during meetings with Trump and other US officials and have also explained them publicly, signaling that public Russian statements about the war convey the same points that Russian officials aim to convey in private meetings. Lavrov reiterated that Russia views NATO expansion and the alleged "violation of Russian security interests" as one of the "root causes" of the war. Lavrov claimed that Russia will achieve its war aims, which he listed as the removal of security threats to Russia "coming from the Ukrainian territory," the protection of the rights of the "ethnic Russian and Russian-speaking people who believe they belong to the Russian culture and Russian history," and Ukrainian neutrality. Lavrov claimed that Ukraine has the right to exist but only as long as it "lets go" of ethnic Russians and Russian speakers who "decided that they belong to Russian culture." Lavrov claimed that Russia has a "duty" to support and protect those who share the values of the Russian language and the "Russian World" ("Russkiy Mir"). Lavrov's statements in the NBC interview reiterate consistent Kremlin claims that the alleged "root causes" of the war are NATO's eastward expansion and Ukraine's discrimination against Russian speakers. The Kremlin's "root causes" notably extend beyond Ukraine, and agreeing to Russia's demand that any future peace settlement "eliminate" the root causes would require substantial negotiations with NATO as well. Lavrov is also promoting the narrative that Ukraine is part of the Kremlin's "Russkiy Mir" idea - an amorphous ideological and geographic conception that Russia claims includes all of the former territories of Kyivan Rus, the Kingdom of Muscovy, the Russian Empire, the Soviet Union, and the contemporary Russian Federation. Lavrov's continued insistence that any end to the war must address Russia's "root causes," including multiple times following the August 15 Alaska summit, continues to indicate that Russia's war aims have not changed.


Lavrov continued efforts to mischaracterize Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky as the impediment to an enduring peace in Ukraine, in order to distract from the Kremlin's own unwillingness to compromise or engage in negotiations on US President Donald Trump's proposed timeline. Lavrov claimed that Zelensky "will not resolve the [Kremlin's] issue[s]" with Ukraine and accused Zelensky of publicly stating that "he is not going to discuss any territories," deliberately mischaracterizing Zelensky's recent public statements to the opposite. Zelensky has repeatedly indicated in recent days that he is willing to discuss territorial issues in a bilateral meeting with Putin. Lavrov claimed that Zelensky is going against Trump's wishes regarding NATO membership and is refusing to repeal laws relating to Russia's defined "root causes" of the war. Lavrov asked why Zelensky is "ready to meet" and implied that any Zelensky-Putin meeting would be useless, suggesting that Putin is unwilling to meet with Zelensky unless Ukraine concedes to Russia's original war demands, which amount to Ukraine's military, political, and cultural capitulation.


Lavrov denied that Russia violated past international treaties prohibiting Russia from invading Ukraine and rejected Western-backed security guarantees for Ukraine in the future. Lavrov claimed that the 1994 Budapest Memorandum guaranteed Ukraine's security just "as any other non-nuclear state" and that the legal obligation of nuclear states that give guarantees to non-nuclear states is to not use nuclear weapons against non-nuclear states. Lavrov claimed that Ukraine - not Russia - violated the 1994 agreement by not respecting human rights after 2014. The Budapest Memorandum does state that Russia, the UK, and the United States are committed to not use nuclear weapons against non-nuclear states party to the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty, such as Ukraine. Lavrov's claims ignore, however, that the memorandum also states that Russia, the UK, and United States are committed to "respect the independence and sovereignty and the existing borders of Ukraine."


KEY TAKEAWAYS

  • Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov used an English-language interview with a US outlet to reiterate the Kremlin's explicit rejection of US-proposed initiatives for peace in Ukraine.


  • Lavrov continued efforts to mischaracterize Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky as the impediment to an enduring peace in Ukraine, in order to distract from the Kremlin's own unwillingness to compromise or engage in negotiations on US President Donald Trump's proposed timeline.


  • Lavrov denied that Russia violated past international treaties prohibiting Russia from invading Ukraine and rejected Western-backed security guarantees for Ukraine in the future.


  • Ukrainian forces struck Russian energy infrastructure in Leningrad and Samara oblasts on the night of August 23 to 24.


  • Ukraine's Western partners continue to provide military aid to Ukraine, including through the purchase of US weapons.


  • Ukraine and Russia conducted another prisoner exchange that included a limited number of Ukrainian journalists and government officials on August 24.



  • Ukrainian forces recently advanced near Pokrovsk, and Russian forces recently advanced in northern Kharkiv Oblast.


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