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[ISW] 이스라엘-하마스 전쟁(이란) 업데이트, 2024년 7월 15일

by Summa posted Jul 16, 2024
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주요 요점:

  • 이라크: 저항 축은 걸프 국가들이 이스라엘과의 경제 협력을 줄이도록 계속 강요하려 하고 있습니다. 저항 축은 이스라엘-하마스 전쟁 내내 이스라엘을 경제적으로 고립시키려고 했습니다.
  • 가자 지구: 이스라엘은 아직 하마스의 최고 군사 지휘관인 모하마드 데이프를 죽였는지 확인하지 않았습니다. 하마스는 데이프가 살아 있다고 주장했지만 증거는 제시하지 않았습니다.
  • 시리아: 이스라엘은 레반트 지역에서 군수 물자를 이동하는 데 관여한 유명한 시리아 사업가를 표적으로 삼은 것을 포함하여 시리아에 여러 차례 공습을 가했습니다.

분류:

  • 중동
  • 군사
  • 정치

관련된 주요 국가:

  • 이스라엘
  • 이라크
  • 시리아

향후 전망:

  • 저항 축은 걸프 국가들에 대한 압력을 계속 가할 것으로 예상됩니다.
  • 이스라엘은 하마스의 최고 군사 지휘관인 모하마드 데이프를 죽였는지 여부를 확인할 것으로 예상됩니다.
  • 이스라엘은 시리아에서 군사 작전을 계속할 것으로 예상됩니다.
```

[원문]

Iran Update

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Annika Ganzeveld, Kelly Campa, Kathryn Tyson, Andie Parry, Alexandra Braverman, Siddhant Kishore and Nicholas Carl


Information Cutoff: 2:00pm ET

The Axis of Resistance is continuing to try to coerce Gulf states into reducing their economic cooperation with Israel. Iranian-backed Iraqi militia Kataib Hezbollah warned Saudi Arabia on July 13 that it will “pay the price” for allowing Israel to conduct trade through Saudi territory. Kataib Hezbollah accused Saudi Arabia of allowing Israel to use overland trade routes through Saudi territory “as an alternative to sea lanes.” Kataib Hezbollah was likely referring to the trade corridor that connects Israel to the Persian Gulf via the United Arab Emirates (UAE), Saudi Arabia, and Jordan. Israel has increasingly relied on this land route to mitigate the impact of Houthi attacks on international shipping around the Gulf of Aden and Red Sea. The Houthis conducted around 190 attacks targeting commercial vessels in the Red Sea between November 2023 and mid-June 2024, causing trade activity at the Port of Eilat to decrease by approximately 85 percent. Kataib Hezbollah previously vowed in April 2024 to sever the Israeli “land bridge” that passes through Jordan.


Kataib Hezbollah’s desire to disrupt the Israeli economic cooperation with the Gulf states is part of a larger Axis of Resistance effort to economically isolate Israel. Iranian leaders, including Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, have repeatedly called on Muslim countries to impose an embargo on Israel. Iranian officials and media have also criticized Gulf states for allowing Israel to conduct trade through their territory and argued that the “land bridge” connecting Israel to the Persian Gulf renders Houthi attacks in the Red Sea “ineffective.” An Iranian-backed Bahraini militia began conducting attacks targeting Israel in April 2024 as part of the Axis of Resistance effort to impose an unofficial blockade on Israel. Iran and its allies appear to be operating on the theory that severe economic disruption would compel Israel to accept defeat in the Gaza Strip and that such economic pressure could ultimately collapse the Israeli state. Iranian leaders have repeatedly said in recent months that part of their theory on how to destroy Israel revolves around stoking instability and terror in Israel to catalyze reverse migration away from Israel.


Key Takeaways:


  • Iraq: The Axis of Resistance is continuing to try to coerce the Gulf states into reducing their economic cooperation with Israel. The Axis of Resistance has sought to isolate Israel economically throughout the Israel-Hamas war.


  • Gaza Strip: Israel has not yet confirmed whether it killed Hamas’ top military commander, Mohammad Deif. Hamas has asserted that Deif is alive but has provided no evidence.


  • Syria: Israel conducted several airstrikes into Syria, including one targeting a high-profile Syrian businessman involved in moving military material across the Levant.


Click here to read the full update.

ISW–CTP has launched an interactive map of Israeli ground operations to accompany our daily campaign assessments of the IsraelHamas war. This product complements the daily static maps that ISW-CTP produces with high-fidelity and, where possible, street-level assessments of the war in Israel.

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