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[ISW] 이스라엘-하마스 전쟁(이란) 업데이트, 2024년 10월 7일

by Summa posted Oct 08, 2024
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주요 사항

주요 사항

  • 레바논: IDF는 남부 레바논의 레바논 헤즈볼라에 대한 지상 작전을 위해 제3사단을 배치했습니다. IDF는 또한 서부 갈릴리에 또 다른 폐쇄 군사 구역을 만들었습니다.
  • 이란: 이란 고위 관리들은 IRGC 쿠드스군 사령관 에스마일 가니가 여전히 살아 있다고 주장해 왔지만 아직 증거를 제시하지 않았습니다.
  • 가자 지구: 하마스는 2023년 10월 7일 이스라엘에 대한 공격 기념 성명을 발표하고 이스라엘에 대한 다른 중동 행위자들의 공격을 축하했습니다.
  • 이란: 이란 국가 안보 및 외교 정책 위원회는 저항 축의 일부를 동맹으로 공식화할 법안을 준비하고 있습니다.

분류: 중동 안보
관련된 주요 국가: 이스라엘, 이란, 레바논
향후 전망: 이 지역의 긴장은 앞으로도 계속될 것으로 예상되며, 이는 더 많은 갈등으로 이어질 수 있습니다.

[원문]

Iran Update

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Carolyn Moorman, Andie Parry, Alexandra Braverman, Ria Reddy, Siddhant Kishore, Anthony Carrillo, Buckley DeJardin, and Nicholas Carl



Information Cutoff: 2:00 pm ET

The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) deployed a third division—the 91st Division—to southern Lebanon on October 7 for “focused and delimited” ground operations against Lebanese Hezbollah. The 91st Division joins the 36th and 98th divisions in southern Lebanon shortly after Israel announced that it would expand ground operations against Hezbollah. The IDF 3rd, 8th, and 288th reserve brigades are operating under the 91st Division. The division is ordinarily responsible for the entire Israel-Lebanon border and has conducted hundreds of attacks from Israel targeting Hezbollah. Hezbollah reported that it fired upon Israeli forces around the border near Yiftah. Commercially available satellite imagery captured on October 7 similarly indicates troop movements in the area.


The IDF created a fourth closed military zone in Western Galilee on October 7. The new zone encompasses Rosh Hanikra, Hanita, Admit, Arab al Aramshe, and Shlomi, which is the western-most section of the Israel-Lebanon border. Most of the border is now a closed military zone. The IDF created closed military zones to the east over the Metula area on September 30, over the Dovev, Tzvion, and Malkia areas on October 1, and over Manara and Yiftah on October 6.


The IDF Arabic-language spokesperson called on civilians to evacuate immediately from 25 towns and villages in southern Lebanon on October 7. The spokesperson told residents that they should head north of the Awali River. The spokesperson also ordered Lebanese civilians to keep off the sea and shoreline south of the Awali River. He said that the IDF Navy would soon operate off the coast against Hezbollah. Local Lebanese sources reported that Israeli naval ships fired artillery targeting Ras Naqoura in southwest Lebanon. The IDF Navy has provided fire support to ground forces operating in the Gaza Strip over the past year.


Hamas issued a statement commemorating the anniversary of its October 7, 2023, attack into Israel and celebrating the other Iranian-backed actors that have begun attacking Israel regularly over the past year. This framing is consistent with Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar’s reported desire to ignite a regional war against Israel in order to alleviate Israeli military pressure on Hamas in the Gaza Strip. Hamas, in its statement, praised Hezbollah, the Houthis, Iraqi militias, and West Bank fighters for their regular attacks on Israel. Hamas also boasted that a recent terror attack on the Israel-Jordan border has inspired ”an authentic Jordanian Arab front.”


Hamas separately claimed that it conducted its October 7 attack into Israel in order to preempt an Israeli attack. This appears to be the first time that Hamas has made this claim, raising the question of why it waited until now to make this assertion if it were true. Hamas also threatened to execute more Israeli hostages in its statement commemorating its indiscriminate killing, torture, and abduction of Israeli civilians.


Key Takeaways:


  • Lebanon: The IDF deployed a third division for ground operations against Lebanese Hezbollah in southern Lebanon. The IDF also created another closed military zone in Western Galilee.


  • Iran: Senior Iranian officials have continued insisting that IRGC Quds Force Commander Esmail Ghaani is still alive but have not yet provided evidence.


  • Gaza Strip: Hamas released a statement commemorating the anniversary of its October 7, 2023, attack into Israel and celebrated other Middle Eastern actors’ attacks on Israel.


  • Iran: The Iranian National Security and Foreign Policy Committee is preparing legislation that would formalize parts of the Axis of Resistance as an alliance. 


Click here to read the full update.

ISW–CTP has launched an interactive map of Israeli ground operations to accompany our daily campaign assessments of the IsraelHamas war. This product complements the daily static maps that ISW-CTP produces with high-fidelity and, where possible, street-level assessments of the war in Israel.

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