메뉴 건너뛰기

군사국방

국방뉴스

[ISW] 러시아 공세 캠페인 평가, 2024년 7월 13일

by Summa posted Jul 14, 2024
?

단축키

Prev이전 문서

Next다음 문서

ESC닫기

크게 작게 위로 아래로 댓글로 가기 인쇄
?

단축키

Prev이전 문서

Next다음 문서

ESC닫기

크게 작게 위로 아래로 댓글로 가기 인쇄

```html

핵심 요점:

  • 우크라이나 보안국(SBU)은 7월 13일 오전 로스토프주 침리얀스크 근처의 석유 저장소에 드론 공격을 성공적으로 수행했다고 합니다.
  • 러시아와 이란은 양자 관계 심화와 다자간 협력에 대한 의지를 계속해서 표명하고 있습니다.
  • 구금된 러시아 사업가와 구금된 전 국방부 차관 티무르 이바노프와 관련이 있는 것으로 알려진 러시아 군 장교가 최근 같은 날 사망했습니다.
  • 러시아 당국과 협력하는 아르메니아 국경 경비대는 예레반에서 러시아 시민을 구금한 것으로 알려졌으며, 이는 러시아-아르메니아 관계가 악화되는 가운데 아르메니아에 대한 정치적 권력을 주장하고 아르메니아의 주권에 도전하려는 크렘린의 지속적인 노력의 일환으로 보입니다.
  • 우크라이나군은 최근 쿠피얀스크와 스바토베 근처의 상실된 위치를 되찾았고, 러시아군은 최근 크레민나, 토레츠크, 아브디이프카 및 도네츠크-자포리지아주 경계 지역 근처에서 진격했습니다.
  • 러시아군은 훈련 역량을 개선하기 위한 노력을 계속하고 있습니다.
``` ### 분류: 군사, 정치 ### 관련된 주요국가: 러시아, 우크라이나, 아르메니아 ### 향후 전망: 러시아와 우크라이나 간의 전쟁은 계속될 것으로 예상되며, 러시아는 아르메니아에 대한 영향력을 확대하기 위해 계속 노력할 것으로 보입니다.

[원문]

ISW Logo

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment

Support ISW

 Angelica Evans, Riley Bailey, Nicole Wolkov,

Christina Harward, and Frederick W. Kagan



 July 13, 2024, 4:35pm ET 

Click here to see ISW's interactive map of the Russian invasion of Ukraine. This map is updated daily alongside the static maps present in this report.


Click here to see ISW’s 3D control-of-terrain topographic map of Ukraine. The use of a computer (not a mobile device) is strongly recommended for accessing this data-heavy tool.


Click here to access ISW’s archive of interactive time-lapse maps of the Russian invasion of Ukraine. These maps complement the static control-of-terrain maps that ISW produces daily by showing a dynamic frontline.

Ukraine's Security Service (SBU) reportedly conducted successful drone strikes against an oil depot near Tsimlyansk, Rostov Oblast on the morning of July 13. Ukrainian outlet Suspilne reported that its sources stated that SBU drones struck the oil depot, which stored various grades of gas and diesel fuel. Russian sources amplified footage showing the fire at an oil depot near Tsimlyansk, Rostov Oblast (156km northeast of Rostov-on-Don), and Rostov Oblast Head Vasily Golubev confirmed that a drone strike caused the fire. A Ukrainian military observer told Ukrainian media that Ukrainian forces are targeting Russian military logistics, including oil depots, and that Rostov Oblast is one of Russia's most important military logistics hubs.


Russia and Iran continue to signal their commitment to deepening bilateral relations and multilateral cooperation. Iranian President-elect Masoud Pezeshkian published an article in the Tehran Times on July 12 in which Pezeshkian praised the People's Republic of China (PRC) and Russia for standing by Iran during "challenging times." Pezeshkian stated that Russia is a "valued strategic ally and neighbor" to Iran and that his government will remain committed to expanding and prioritizing bilateral and multilateral cooperation with Russia, including through BRICS, the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO), and the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU). Pezeshkian claimed that Iran "strives for peace" between Russia and Ukraine and is prepared to support initiatives aimed at peace. Russian Ambassador to Iran Alexei Dedov stated during an interview with Russian state news agency RIA Novosti published on July 13 that Russia will pursue the same strategic course with Iran under Pezeshkian as Russia pursued under deceased Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi. Dedov claimed that Russia is prepared to consider peace mediation proposals from Iran, although Russian President Vladimir Putin recently rejected the possibility of any third-party mediation efforts between Russia and Ukraine. Dedov stated that Russia and Iran will sign a comprehensive strategic partnership agreement in the "foreseeable future," but did not provide a concrete timeline for this agreement.


Key Takeaways:


  • Ukraine's Security Service (SBU) reportedly conducted successful drone strikes against an oil depot near Tsimlyansk, Rostov Oblast on the morning of July 13.


  • Russia and Iran continue to signal their commitment to deepening bilateral relations and multilateral cooperation.


  • A detained Russian businessman and a Russian military official who were reportedly connected to detained former Deputy Defense Minister Timur Ivanov recently died on the same day.


  • Armenian border guards, cooperating with Russian authorities, reportedly detained a Russian citizen in Yerevan, likely as part of a continued Kremlin effort to assert political power over Armenia and challenge Armenia's sovereignty amid deteriorating Russian-Armenian relations.


  • Ukrainian forces recently regained lost positions near Kupyansk and Svatove, and Russian forces recently advanced near Kreminna, Toretsk and Avdiivka and in the Donetsk-Zaporizhia Oblast border area.


  • The Russian military continues efforts to improve training capacity.


Click here to read the full assessment.

Follow ISW on social media:


Facebook | X | YouTube | Instagram | LinkedIn | Threads | Bluesky


Visit our website: UnderstandingWar.org

Donate online or by sending a check to the Institute for the Study of War at 1400 16th Street NW, Suite #515, Washington, DC, 20036. Please consider including the Institute for the Study of War in your estate plans.


ISW is a tax-exempt organization under section 501(c)(3) of the Internal Revenue Code. Donations are tax-deductible to the extent permitted by law.

The Institute for the Study of War (ISW) is a non-partisan, non-profit, public policy research organization. ISW advances an informed understanding of military affairs through reliable research, trusted analysis, and innovative education. We are committed to improving the nation's ability to execute military operations and respond to emerging threats in order to achieve US strategic objectives.



위로