메뉴 건너뛰기

군사국방

전황

[ISW] 러시아 공세 캠페인 평가, 2024년 1월 22일

by 맘씨 posted Jan 25, 2024
?

단축키

Prev이전 문서

Next다음 문서

크게 작게 위로 아래로 댓글로 가기 인쇄
?

단축키

Prev이전 문서

Next다음 문서

크게 작게 위로 아래로 댓글로 가기 인쇄

ISW Logo

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment

Support ISW

Riley Bailey, Christina Harward, Nicole Wolkov, Grace Mappes, Karolina Hird, George Barros, and Frederick W. Kagan



January 22, 2024, 6:45pm ET

Click here to see ISW's interactive map of the Russian invasion of Ukraine. This map is updated daily alongside the static maps present in this report.


Click here to see ISW’s 3D control-of-terrain topographic map of Ukraine. The use of a computer (not a mobile device) is strongly recommended for accessing this data-heavy tool.


Click here to access ISW’s archive of interactive time-lapse maps of the Russian invasion of Ukraine. These maps complement the static control-of-terrain maps that ISW produces daily by showing a dynamic frontline.

Russia continues to weaponize its position on the United Nations Security Council (UNSC) to propagate several long-standing Russian information operations. Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov spoke at a UNSC meeting, which Russia convened, on January 22 and blamed the West for the lack of negotiations, claiming that Russia has always been “ready for negotiations.” Lavrov clarified, however, that Russia is only interested in negotiations that result in the removal of the current Ukrainian government from power, confirming that Russia still officially seeks regime change in Ukraine. Lavrov continued to deny Ukraine’s independence and sovereignty, falsely claiming that the Ukrainian people have no interests in the war against Russia and that the West has pushed Ukraine to continue the war. Lavrov advised the West to understand that Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky’s ”peace formula” is a “path to nowhere,” claiming that the “sooner [the West] realizes this, the better it will be for both Ukraine and the West.” Lavrov also claimed that “if Ukraine stops fighting, hundreds of thousands” of Ukrainian lives would be saved. Lavrov previously made similar comments, suggesting that the Kremlin believes that Russia will be able to occupy more territory as the war continues and that this course of the war will increasingly weaken Ukraine’s negotiating position.


Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk visited Kyiv on January 22 and announced a new Polish defense package for Ukraine. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky thanked Tusk for the new Polish defense package and noted that he and Tusk discussed possibilities for the future production of weapons. Zelensky stated that the package includes a Polish loan for large-scale Ukrainian weapons purchases, but Tusk and Zelensky did not specify additional details about security assistance package provisions or the overall value of the package. Tusk later stated that Poland joined the Group of Seven (G7) declaration of support for Ukraine and noted that Poland will appoint a commissioner to oversee Polish involvement in Ukrainian reconstruction efforts.


Footage purportedly showing an altercation between a Russian soldier and Chechen “Akhmat-Vostok” forces in occupied Melitopol, Zaporizhia Oblast, reignited criticism of Chechen forces for their lack of contributions to Russian military operations in Ukraine. Footage widely circulated on January 22 purportedly shows Chechen “Akhmat-Vostok” Battalion commander Vakha Khambulatov and other “Akhmat-Vostok” Battalion personnel threatening to kill a Russian soldier at a checkpoint in occupied Melitopol after the Russian soldier stated that Khambulatov had invalid identification documents. Russian milbloggers criticized the Chechen personnel for having “too clean uniforms and too clean cars” and complained that these personnel receive the same state salary and social benefits as frontline Russian Airborne (VDV) forces despite contributing less to Russian military operations. A Russian milblogger claimed that this is the fifth altercation between Russian and Chechen military personnel in rear areas. Russian sources have previously criticized Chechen forces for conducting performative actions in Belgorod Oblast after all-Russian pro-Ukrainian forces raided the area, for posturing themselves as a response force during the Wagner Group rebellion in June 2023, and for exaggerating their supposed frontline combat contributions around Bakhmut in July 2023. Chechen Republic Head Ramzan Kadyrov has routinely attempted to curry favor with the Kremlin and promote his domestic power through emphasizing Chechnya’s contributions to the war in Ukraine, and continued criticism against Chechen forces in Ukraine may degrade the influence Kadyrov has gained through this effort.


Key Takeaways:


  • Russia continues to weaponize its position on the United Nations Security Council (UNSC) to propagate several long-standing Russian information operations.


  • Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk visited Kyiv on January 22 and announced a new Polish defense package for Ukraine.


  • Footage purportedly showing an altercation between a Russian soldier and Chechen “Akhmat-Vostok” forces in occupied Melitopol, Zaporizhia Oblast, reignited criticism of Chechen forces for their lack of contributions to Russian military operations in Ukraine.


  • An investigation by a Russian opposition outlet suggests that Russian elites may have accepted and internalized the domestic consequences of Russia’s war in Ukraine.


  • Russian officials and information space actors are attempting to further rhetorically justify Russia’s invasion of Ukraine by misrepresenting a decree that Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky signed on January 22 concerning discrimination against ethnic Ukrainians in Russia. Zelensky’s decree does not establish any territorial demands upon Russia, as select Russian ultranationalists falsely claimed.


  • Russian forces made confirmed advances south of Avdiivka and west of Donetsk City amid continued positional engagements along the entire frontline.


  • Kyrgyzstan issued a statement against Russia’s continued practice of targeting naturalized migrants as part of ongoing crypto-mobilization efforts.


  • Russian federal subjects continue to establish ties with areas of occupied Ukraine.

Click here to read the full assessment.

Follow ISW on social media:


Facebook | X | YouTube | Instagram | LinkedIn | Threads | Bluesky


Visit our website: UnderstandingWar.org

Donate online or by sending a check to the Institute for the Study of War at 1400 16th Street NW, Suite #515, Washington, DC, 20036. Please consider including the Institute for the Study of War in your estate plans.


ISW is a tax-exempt organization under section 501(c)(3) of the Internal Revenue Code. Donations are tax-deductible to the extent permitted by law.

The Institute for the Study of War (ISW) is a non-partisan, non-profit, public policy research organization. ISW advances an informed understanding of military affairs through reliable research, trusted analysis, and innovative education. We are committed to improving the nation's ability to execute military operations and respond to emerging threats in order to achieve US strategic objectives.

The Institute for the Study of War | 1400 16th Street NW, Suite 515, Washington, DC 20036
Unsubscribe help@hearimlaw.onmicrosoft.com
Update Profile | Constant Contact Data Notice
Sent by publications@understandingwar.org powered by
Trusted Email from Constant Contact - Try it FREE today.


[요약]

**Key Takeaways:** - Russia continues to use its position on the United Nations Security Council (UNSC) to spread long-standing Russian disinformation campaigns. - Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk visited Kyiv on January 22 and announced a new Polish defense package for Ukraine. - A video allegedly showing a fight between a Russian soldier and Chechen "Akhmat-Vostok" forces in occupied Melitopol, Zaporizhia Oblast, has reignited criticism of Chechen forces for their lack of contributions to Russian military operations in Ukraine. - An investigation by a Russian opposition outlet suggests that Russian elites may have accepted and internalized the domestic consequences of Russia's war in Ukraine. - Russian officials and information space actors are attempting to further justify Russia's invasion of Ukraine by misrepresenting a decree signed by Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky on January 22 regarding discrimination against ethnic Ukrainians in Russia. Zelensky's decree does not make any territorial demands on Russia, as some Russian ultranationalists have falsely claimed. - Russian forces made confirmed advances south of Avdiivka and west of Donetsk City amid ongoing positional engagements along the entire frontline. - Kyrgyzstan issued a statement against Russia's continued practice of targeting naturalized migrants as part of ongoing crypto-mobilization efforts. - Russian federal subjects continue to establish ties with areas of occupied Ukraine.


  1. [공지] 참조 사이트

    Date2023.12.14 BySumma
    read more
  2. [현지소식] 우크라이나 군대의 드론을 이용한 원격 지뢰 배치 https://ift.tt/Y4UDhbp

    Date2024.01.27 Category전황 By맘씨
    Read More
  3. [국방부] 국방부차관, 동계 입영훈련 중인 학군사관후보생 격려

    Date2024.01.26 Category전황 By맘씨
    Read More
  4. [국방부] 제1차 한-말레이시아 국방부 정책협의회 개최

    Date2024.01.26 Category전황 By맘씨
    Read More
  5. [국방부] 병영식당 개선 위해 국방부와 ㈜더본코리아가 손잡았다!

    Date2024.01.26 Category전황 By맘씨
    Read More
  6. [국방부] 신원식 국방부장관, 코리아 코커스 조 윌슨 미 하원의원 접견

    Date2024.01.26 Category전황 By맘씨
    Read More
  7. [ISW] 러시아 공세 캠페인 평가, 2024년 1월 25일

    Date2024.01.26 Category전황 By맘씨
    Read More
  8. [ISW] 이스라엘-하마스 전쟁(이란) 업데이트, 2024년 1월 25일

    Date2024.01.26 Category전황 By맘씨
    Read More
  9. [ISW] 이스라엘-하마스 전쟁(이란) 업데이트, 2024년 1월 21일

    Date2024.01.26 Category전황 By맘씨
    Read More
  10. [현지소식] 우크라이나군이 운영자의 참여가 필요하지 않은 인공 지능을 갖춘 우크라이나 Saker Scout 드론의 작동을 시연했습니다. https://ift.tt/WDxvkN8

    Date2024.01.25 Category전황 By맘씨
    Read More
  11. [현지소식] 제47기계화보병여단은 브래들리 전투차량, FPV 공격, 정찰 드론 및 보병의 결합된 작전을 사용하여 또 다른 러시아의 공격을 능숙하게 막아냅니다. https://ift.tt/X9kdB4W

    Date2024.01.25 Category전황 By맘씨
    Read More
  12. [현지소식] 가자지구 중앙부에 위치한 이스라엘 방위군 제646예비여단 전투단의 작전 영상 https://ift.tt/0haW1rB

    Date2024.01.25 Category전황 By맘씨
    Read More
  13. [국방부] 경계부대 군인의 시간외근무수당 100시간으로 확대

    Date2024.01.25 Category전황 By맘씨
    Read More
  14. [ISW] 러시아의 공세 캠페인 평가, 2024년 1월 24일

    Date2024.01.25 Category전황 By맘씨
    Read More
  15. 텔레그램 미리보기 테스트

    Date2024.01.25 BySumma
    Read More
  16. [ISW] 이스라엘-하마스 전쟁(이란) 업데이트, 2024년 1월 24일

    Date2024.01.25 Category전황 By맘씨
    Read More
  17. [ISW] 이스라엘-하마스 전쟁(이란) 업데이트, 2024년 1월 23일

    Date2024.01.25 Category전황 By맘씨
    Read More
  18. [ISW] 이스라엘-하마스 전쟁(이란) 업데이트, 2024년 1월 20일

    Date2024.01.25 Category전황 By맘씨
    Read More
  19. [ISW] 러시아 공세 캠페인 평가, 2024년 1월 21일

    Date2024.01.25 Category전황 By맘씨
    Read More
  20. [ISW] 러시아 공세 캠페인 평가, 2024년 1월 20일

    Date2024.01.25 Category전황 By맘씨
    Read More
  21. [ISW] 러시아 공세 캠페인 평가, 2024년 1월 22일

    Date2024.01.25 Category전황 By맘씨
    Read More
Board Pagination Prev 1 ... 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 ... 17 Next
/ 17
위로