Carolyn Moorman, Ria Reddy, Ben Schmida, Ben Rezaei, Avery Borens, Nidal Morrison, Andie Parry, Johanna Moore, Kelly Campa, and Annika Ganzeveld

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Iranian Foreign Affairs Minister Abbas Araghchi likely discussed the Lebanese government’s efforts to prevent Hezbollah’s reconstitution during a visit to Beirut on June 3. Lebanese Foreign Affairs Minister Youssef Rajji stated during a meeting with Araghchi that all reconstruction aid for Lebanon must go through state institutions and rejected any efforts to bypass the Lebanese government to support Hezbollah’s military reconstitution. Rajji’s comments likely refer to recent Iranian efforts to financially support Hezbollah’s reconstitution as the Lebanese state and Lebanese Armed Forces (LAF) have simultaneously cracked down on Hezbollah activity across Lebanon. Iran recently attempted to smuggle funds to Hezbollah through Beirut Rafic Hariri International Airport, for example. Iran will likely seek to establish other means through which to financially and materially support Hezbollah’s reconstitution. Araghchi told Lebanese officials that Iran seeks to open a “new page” in its relationship with Beirut. Araghchi emphasized Iran’s readiness to expand political and economic relations with Lebanon and reaffirmed Iran’s support for Lebanon’s independence and sovereignty during a meeting with Rajji.

US President Donald Trump confirmed on June 3 that the United States maintains its position that Iran cannot enrich uranium. Trump's statement follows an Axios report on June 2 that the recent US written nuclear proposal to Iran would allow Iran to enrich uranium at three percent on Iranian soil for a negotiated period of time. Axios reported that the proposal also calls for the establishment of a regional nuclear consortium. Unspecified diplomatic sources told Reuters on June 2 that Iran plans to reject the proposal and considers the proposal a “non-starter” because it does not "soften the United States’ stance on enrichment.” Iranian media and officials have similarly expressed disapproval of the US proposal, citing "excessive [US] demands” and have reiterated that domestic uranium enrichment is an Iranian "red line.” Iranian plans to reject the US proposal suggest that the proposal calls on Iran to permanently suspend uranium enrichment after enriching uranium at three percent for a period of time. The US proposal may allow Iran to enrich uranium at three percent until the regional nuclear consortium is established, after which Iran would not be allowed to enrich any uranium domestically. Iranian officials have previously stated that Iran would agree to reduce its uranium enrichment to 3.67 percent, which is the enrichment limit in the 2025 Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA)[10] Iran would therefore likely not reject the US proposal if it allowed Iran to permanently enrich uranium at near-JCPOA levels, which further suggests that the US proposal requires Iran to eventually halt all domestic uranium enrichment.

Key Takeaways:

• Iranian Foreign Affairs Minister Abbas Araghchi likely discussed the Lebanese government’s efforts to prevent Hezbollah’s reconstitution during a visit to Beirut on June 3. Lebanese Foreign Affairs Minister Youssef Rajji stated during a meeting with Araghchi that all reconstruction aid for Lebanon must go through state institutions and rejected any efforts to bypass the Lebanese government to support Hezbollah’s military reconstitution. Rajji’s comments likely refer to recent Iranian efforts to financially support Hezbollah’s reconstitution as the Lebanese state and Lebanese Armed Forces (LAF) have simultaneously cracked down on Hezbollah activity across Lebanon.

• US President Donald Trump confirmed on June 3 that the United States maintains its position that Iran cannot enrich uranium. Trump's statement follows an Axios report on June 2 that the recent US written nuclear proposal to Iran would allow Iran to enrich uranium at three percent on Iranian soil for a negotiated period of time. Axios reported that the proposal also calls for the establishment of a regional nuclear consortium. Unspecified diplomatic sources told Reuters on June 2 that Iran plans to reject the proposal and considers the proposal a “non-starter” because it does not "soften the United States’ stance on enrichment.” Iranian plans to reject the US proposal suggest that the proposal calls on Iran to permanently suspend uranium enrichment after enriching uranium at three percent for a period of time.

• Artesh Ideological and Political Organization head Abbas Mohammad Hassani threatened on June 3 that Iran would target US ships in the Persian Gulf, Sea of Oman, Atlantic Ocean, and Pacific Ocean in “the event of [US] mischief,” likely referring to potential US or Israeli strikes on Iran. Iranian officials have repeatedly threatened to attack US bases and international shipping in response to a potential strike.

• Shia Coordination Framework members are reportedly encouraging Iraqis, including those in Sadrist strongholds, to register to vote in the upcoming November 2025 Iraqi parliamentary elections even though Sadr announced that he will not compete in the elections. The Shia Coordination Framework may seek to win votes from Iraqis who would have voted for Sadr in the elections.

• Two unspecified US officials told Fox News on June 2 that the United States has closed or transferred control of three bases in northeastern Syria to the US-backed Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF). The two officials said that the United States has closed Mission Support Site Green Village and transferred control of Mission Support Site Euphrates to the SDF. Both sites are located east of the Euphrates River in Deir ez Zor Province and supported SDF counter-ISIS operations. The officials speaking to Fox News added that 500 US troops have withdrawn from Syria in recent weeks.

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